Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Duchene wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 55.6% vs Strome 46.8% (+10.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 57.4%
Defensive zone
Strome 58.0%
Neutral zone
Strome 52.0%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 58.0%
42.0%
58.0%
Duchene
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Duchene
Strome
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
1
Duchene
Strome
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (566)
46.4% (371)
+10.1%
Power Play
61.3% (62)
43.3% (97)
+18.0%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
55.6% (18)
-33.4%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +33.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Duchene is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (251).
Duchene shoots left. Strome is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (339).
Home / Away
Duchene
Strome
Home
56.6% (318)
47.6% (225)
Away
56.4% (319)
44.8% (261)
By Period
Duchene
Strome
P1
57.2%
45.4%
P2
55.1%
47.6%
P3
55.6%
45.2%
OT
81.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.9%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
56.5%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2024 | 3 | 05:17 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |