Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.1% vs Strome 42.3% (+10.7%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 79.1%
Defensive zone
Duchene 79.3%
Neutral zone
Duchene 73.4%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 78.3%
78.3%
21.7%
Duchene
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
Duchene
Strome
Last 10: Duchene 6-4 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Duchene
Strome
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
3
2
Duchene
Strome
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
0
Duchene
Strome
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (723)
41.2% (1,040)
+11.8%
Power Play
49.5% (101)
43.0% (151)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (16)
51.4% (35)
-7.6%
On even strength, Duchene has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Duchene is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (323).
Duchene shoots left. Strome is 41.1% vs left-shot opponents (900).
Home / Away
Duchene
Strome
Home
54.9% (408)
40.1% (581)
Away
50.0% (432)
43.1% (645)
By Period
Duchene
Strome
P1
52.5%
41.4%
P2
51.7%
42.9%
P3
53.6%
40.5%
OT
33.3%
45.5%
Final 5 min
53.3%
40.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.4%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
41.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 13:00 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 07:20 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 04:37 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 2 | 19:20 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 2 | 11:10 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 17:52 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 15:59 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 16:33 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 13:51 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 3 | 13:05 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 1 | 19:57 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 1 | 10:44 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 1 | 00:52 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |