Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 14 meetings). Duchene wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 54.1% vs Reinhart 43.3% (+11.1%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 91.3%
Defensive zone
Duchene 89.2%
Neutral zone
Duchene 90.6%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 91.2%
91.2%
8.8%
Duchene
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
5
(15 meetings)
10
5
Duchene
Reinhart
Last 10: Duchene 8-2 Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
10
4
Duchene
Reinhart
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
0
1
Duchene
Reinhart
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (10,396)
42.5% (2,173)
+11.4%
Power Play
56.9% (1,665)
46.5% (525)
+10.4%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (468)
41.3% (339)
+7.8%
On even strength, Duchene has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Duchene is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (4,494).
Duchene shoots left. Reinhart is 41.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,283).
Home / Away
Duchene
Reinhart
Home
55.6% (6,411)
44.9% (1,528)
Away
52.7% (6,142)
41.2% (1,509)
By Period
Duchene
Reinhart
P1
54.5%
44.5%
P2
54.5%
40.5%
P3
53.4%
44.5%
OT
56.3%
43.5%
Final 5 min
53.7%
42.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.2%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 14:38 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 17:32 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 10:34 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 1 | 08:50 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 1 | 08:41 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 1 | 04:22 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 2 | 00:46 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 3 | 14:36 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 3 | 14:25 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 3 | 12:59 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 2 | 18:06 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 2 | 15:01 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 03:05 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 3 | 10:38 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 3 | 10:28 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |