Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +13.9% FO% edge overall. Duchene wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 51.6% vs Reinhart 42.9% (+13.9%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 64.1%
Defensive zone
Duchene 51.7%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 53.3%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Duchene
Reinhart
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (324)
39.0% (77)
+12.2%
Power Play
60.4% (53)
35.4% (48)
+25.0%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
40.9% (22)
-24.2%
On power play, Duchene has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Duchene is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (141).
Duchene shoots left. Reinhart is 35.3% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Home / Away
Duchene
Reinhart
Home
51.6% (182)
35.7% (84)
Away
52.2% (201)
41.3% (63)
By Period
Duchene
Reinhart
P1
49.6%
42.6%
P2
56.2%
34.7%
P3
48.6%
37.3%
Final 5 min
51.1%
28.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.0%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
38.1%