Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Duchene wins 58.1% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.8% vs Reinhart 48.8% (+5.6%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 71.1%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 72.3%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 56.5%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Duchene
Reinhart
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (162)
48.0% (275)
-1.1%
Power Play
73.2% (56)
48.1% (52)
+25.1%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
53.1% (32)
+46.9%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +46.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Duchene is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Duchene shoots left. Reinhart is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Home / Away
Duchene
Reinhart
Home
58.4% (125)
49.8% (201)
Away
48.4% (95)
46.8% (158)
By Period
Duchene
Reinhart
P1
56.9%
54.8%
P2
52.5%
40.5%
P3
51.9%
50.0%
OT
80.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
48.5%