Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.1% vs Reinhart 42.7% (+11.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 92.7%
Defensive zone
Duchene 74.6%
Neutral zone
Duchene 74.5%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 92.7%
92.7%
7.3%
Duchene
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Duchene
Reinhart
Last 6: Duchene 6-0 Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
6
0
Duchene
Reinhart
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (723)
44.1% (324)
+8.9%
Power Play
49.5% (101)
40.3% (72)
+9.2%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (16)
33.9% (118)
+9.9%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Duchene is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (323).
Duchene shoots left. Reinhart is 38.1% vs left-shot opponents (423).
Home / Away
Duchene
Reinhart
Home
54.9% (408)
40.5% (232)
Away
50.0% (432)
41.8% (282)
By Period
Duchene
Reinhart
P1
52.5%
46.4%
P2
51.7%
32.6%
P3
53.6%
45.4%
OT
33.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
53.3%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.4%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
41.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 14:38 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 17:32 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 10:34 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 1 | 08:50 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 1 | 08:41 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 1 | 04:22 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |