Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Duchene wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.1% vs Reinhart 50.5% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 73.7%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 72.0%
Neutral zone
Duchene 51.6%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 73.7%
73.7%
26.3%
Duchene
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Duchene
Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
0
Duchene
Reinhart
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (193)
49.4% (259)
+4.5%
Power Play
49.2% (65)
54.4% (136)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
47.9% (71)
+52.1%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +52.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Duchene is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Duchene shoots left. Reinhart is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
Duchene
Reinhart
Home
54.9% (113)
54.9% (235)
Away
51.4% (146)
46.3% (231)
By Period
Duchene
Reinhart
P1
54.9%
52.3%
P2
52.7%
50.0%
P3
51.9%
50.0%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
60.6%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.9%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 03:05 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |