Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +20.6% FO% edge overall. Duchene wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Wright shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.1% vs Wright 45.8% (+20.6%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 77.1%
Defensive zone
Wright 74.4%
Neutral zone
Duchene 53.3%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Duchene
Wright
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (193)
32.3% (31)
+21.6%
On even strength, Duchene has a +21.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Duchene is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Duchene shoots left. Wright is 31.8% vs left-shot opponents (22).
Home / Away
Duchene
Wright
Home
54.9% (113)
38.5% (13)
Away
51.4% (146)
27.8% (18)
By Period
Duchene
Wright
P1
54.9%
40.0%
P2
52.7%
37.5%
P3
51.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
60.6%
0.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.9%
Wright
44.0%▲
42.5%
32.3%