Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Duchene wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Wright shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 55.6% vs Wright 50.3% (+5.9%)
Offensive zone
Wright 57.1%
Defensive zone
Duchene 60.7%
Neutral zone
Wright 51.1%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Duchene
Wright
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (566)
52.6% (76)
+3.9%
Power Play
61.3% (62)
20.0% (5)
+41.3%
On power play, Duchene has a +41.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Duchene is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (251).
Duchene shoots left. Wright is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (52).
Home / Away
Duchene
Wright
Home
56.6% (318)
58.5% (41)
Away
56.4% (319)
42.5% (40)
By Period
Duchene
Wright
P1
57.2%
50.0%
P2
55.1%
46.2%
P3
55.6%
55.6%
Final 5 min
47.9%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
56.5%
Wright
44.0%▲
42.5%
50.6%