Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Duchene wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Wright shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 51.6% vs Wright 41.4% (+12.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 67.6%
Defensive zone
Duchene 70.3%
Neutral zone
Duchene 59.3%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 59.3%
59.3%
40.7%
Duchene
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Duchene
Wright
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
0
Duchene
Wright
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (324)
39.5% (453)
+11.7%
Power Play
60.4% (53)
42.4% (59)
+18.0%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
0.0% (1)
+16.7%
On power play, Duchene has a +18.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Duchene is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (141).
Duchene shoots left. Wright is 38.8% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Home / Away
Duchene
Wright
Home
51.6% (182)
39.5% (286)
Away
52.2% (201)
40.1% (227)
By Period
Duchene
Wright
P1
49.6%
39.9%
P2
56.2%
37.1%
P3
48.6%
42.9%
OT
60.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.0%
Wright
44.0%▲
42.5%
39.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 01:43 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |