Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.8% vs Blueger 52.7% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 87.0%
Defensive zone
Blueger 92.4%
Neutral zone
Blueger 69.8%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 87.0%
87.0%
13.0%
Duchene
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Duchene
Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
0
Duchene
Blueger
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (162)
53.9% (529)
-7.0%
Power Play
73.2% (56)
50.0% (6)
+23.2%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
50.4% (137)
+49.6%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +49.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Duchene is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (115).
Duchene shoots left. Blueger is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Home / Away
Duchene
Blueger
Home
58.4% (125)
54.3% (335)
Away
48.4% (95)
51.9% (337)
By Period
Duchene
Blueger
P1
56.9%
50.3%
P2
52.5%
55.2%
P3
51.9%
53.5%
OT
80.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 02:08 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |