Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Duchene wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 55.6% vs Blueger 52.8% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 71.7%
Defensive zone
Blueger 76.7%
Neutral zone
Duchene 55.4%
Result
Teddy Blueger favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Duchene
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Duchene
Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
0
1
Duchene
Blueger
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
0
Duchene
Blueger
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (566)
54.2% (590)
+2.3%
Power Play
61.3% (62)
71.4% (14)
-10.1%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
48.0% (177)
-25.8%
On penalty kill, Blueger has a +25.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Duchene is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (386).
Duchene shoots left. Blueger is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (548).
Home / Away
Duchene
Blueger
Home
56.6% (318)
53.2% (378)
Away
56.4% (319)
53.1% (403)
By Period
Duchene
Blueger
P1
57.2%
54.3%
P2
55.1%
56.7%
P3
55.6%
48.9%
OT
81.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
47.9%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
56.5%
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 07:51 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 19:18 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 10:42 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |