Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Blueger on defensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 15 meetings). Duchene wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 54.1% vs Blueger 50.0% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 20-18 in 38 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 86.6%
Defensive zone
Blueger 78.0%
Neutral zone
Duchene 54.8%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Duchene
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
18
(38 meetings)
20
18
Duchene
Blueger
Last 10: Duchene 4-6 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
8
3
Duchene
Blueger
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
4
11
Duchene
Blueger
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
8
4
Duchene
Blueger
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (10,396)
52.3% (3,540)
+1.6%
Power Play
56.9% (1,665)
50.0% (76)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (468)
42.6% (1,100)
+6.5%
On power play, Duchene has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Duchene is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,059).
Duchene shoots left. Blueger is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,198).
Home / Away
Duchene
Blueger
Home
55.6% (6,411)
51.4% (2,403)
Away
52.7% (6,142)
48.6% (2,313)
By Period
Duchene
Blueger
P1
54.5%
49.2%
P2
54.5%
52.3%
P3
53.4%
48.5%
OT
56.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.2%
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 12:27 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 13:54 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 04:55 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 00:55 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 00:51 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 1 | 06:04 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 1 | 03:44 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 3 | 15:42 | Offensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 3 | 10:32 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 2 | 19:34 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 2 | 17:26 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 1 | 05:00 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 31, 2025 | 3 | 08:33 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 31, 2025 | 2 | 15:38 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 07:51 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 19:18 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 10:42 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1 | 14:22 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 02:08 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |