Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Duchene wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 55.6% vs Hertl 56.8% (-1.0%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 51.4%
Defensive zone
Hertl 59.3%
Neutral zone
Duchene 54.4%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Duchene
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (566)
57.0% (718)
-0.5%
Power Play
61.3% (62)
64.9% (188)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
44.2% (77)
-22.0%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +22.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Duchene is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (386).
Duchene shoots left. Hertl is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Home / Away
Duchene
Hertl
Home
56.6% (318)
59.2% (463)
Away
56.4% (319)
56.0% (520)
By Period
Duchene
Hertl
P1
57.2%
56.3%
P2
55.1%
55.4%
P3
55.6%
60.5%
OT
81.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.9%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
56.5%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.5%