Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Beniers wins 41.3% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 42.9% vs Frost 46.2% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beniers 61.9%
Defensive zone
Beniers 68.4%
Neutral zone
Beniers 61.4%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 61.5%
61.5%
38.5%
Beniers
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Beniers
Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
1
Beniers
Frost
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
1
2
Beniers
Frost
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (879)
45.6% (833)
-3.3%
Power Play
40.3% (72)
46.0% (100)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (18)
55.6% (18)
-11.2%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Beniers is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (598).
Beniers shoots left. Frost is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (625).
Home / Away
Beniers
Frost
Home
43.8% (495)
47.0% (440)
Away
40.5% (474)
44.8% (511)
By Period
Beniers
Frost
P1
43.3%
42.5%
P2
45.6%
47.9%
P3
38.2%
46.6%
OT
36.4%
66.7%
Final 5 min
42.3%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
42.2%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2023 | 1 | 14:39 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 1 | 04:55 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 12, 2023 | 2 | 18:59 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |