Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (56% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 47.8% vs Frost 51.1% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Frost leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Frost 66.7%
Defensive zone
Beniers 72.4%
Neutral zone
Beniers 51.4%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 55.7%
44.3%
55.7%
Beniers
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
8
(14 meetings)
6
8
Beniers
Frost
Last 10: Beniers 4-6 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
4
5
Beniers
Frost
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Frost
1
2
Beniers
Frost
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Beniers
Frost
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (1,050)
50.3% (825)
-2.0%
Power Play
42.9% (105)
54.9% (204)
-12.0%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (39)
50.0% (4)
-6.4%
On power play, Frost has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Beniers is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Beniers shoots left. Frost is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Home / Away
Beniers
Frost
Home
48.7% (630)
50.7% (489)
Away
46.5% (564)
51.7% (544)
By Period
Beniers
Frost
P1
49.2%
53.6%
P2
45.0%
47.8%
P3
49.3%
52.0%
OT
22.2%
66.7%
Final 5 min
45.6%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
64.0%▲
51.0%
47.7%
Frost
74.0%▲
55.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2025 | OT | 02:14 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 25, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 18:03 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 14:38 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 07:10 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 8, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 14:01 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 15:42 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 11:11 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 2 | 17:22 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 1 | 05:25 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 06:48 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 03:40 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 1 | 18:26 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |