Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 49.4% vs Frost 55.7% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 82.4%
Defensive zone
Frost 51.2%
Neutral zone
Frost 70.8%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Beniers
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Beniers
Frost
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
1
0
Beniers
Frost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (833)
54.9% (701)
-6.0%
Power Play
58.3% (36)
60.8% (166)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
100.0% (5)
-50.0%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Beniers is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (615).
Beniers shoots left. Frost is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (586).
Home / Away
Beniers
Frost
Home
52.4% (460)
56.0% (443)
Away
46.0% (441)
56.6% (429)
By Period
Beniers
Frost
P1
48.4%
58.9%
P2
51.1%
55.3%
P3
47.8%
54.0%
OT
66.7%
70.0%
Final 5 min
45.5%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
49.3%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 06:20 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |