Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 47.6% vs Frost 49.5% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 50.8%
Defensive zone
Beniers 71.9%
Neutral zone
Beniers 61.6%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 60.6%
60.6%
39.4%
Beniers
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Beniers
Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
2
Beniers
Frost
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Beniers
Frost
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (945)
48.6% (704)
-1.3%
Power Play
51.7% (145)
55.7% (115)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
23.8% (21)
25.0% (4)
-1.2%
On power play, Frost has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Beniers is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (718).
Beniers shoots left. Frost is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (492).
Home / Away
Beniers
Frost
Home
49.6% (565)
49.9% (399)
Away
45.2% (546)
49.1% (424)
By Period
Beniers
Frost
P1
48.0%
51.2%
P2
49.0%
53.9%
P3
46.5%
42.7%
OT
23.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.5%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
47.4%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2023 | 2 | 04:50 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 2 | 01:43 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 2 | 01:36 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 1 | 08:53 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |