Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 46.7% vs Frost 50.3% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Frost leads 14-9 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Beniers 63.9%
Defensive zone
Beniers 80.9%
Neutral zone
Beniers 70.3%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 69.8%
69.8%
30.2%
Beniers
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
14
(23 meetings)
9
14
Beniers
Frost
Last 10: Beniers 5-5 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
4
8
Beniers
Frost
12 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Beniers
Frost
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
2
3
Beniers
Frost
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (3,796)
49.4% (3,598)
-2.8%
Power Play
47.8% (360)
55.5% (625)
-7.7%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (111)
52.8% (36)
-11.4%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Beniers is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,820).
Beniers shoots left. Frost is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,782).
Home / Away
Beniers
Frost
Home
48.9% (2,195)
51.0% (2,047)
Away
44.2% (2,072)
49.7% (2,212)
By Period
Beniers
Frost
P1
47.4%
50.8%
P2
47.1%
51.1%
P3
45.7%
48.5%
OT
34.1%
66.7%
Final 5 min
46.2%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
46.6%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 06:20 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 25, 2025 | OT | 02:14 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 25, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 18:03 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 14:38 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 07:10 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 8, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 14:01 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 15:42 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 11:11 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 2 | 17:22 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 1 | 05:25 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 06:48 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 03:40 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 1 | 18:26 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 2 | 04:50 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 2 | 01:43 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 2 | 01:36 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 1 | 08:53 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 1 | 14:39 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |