Matty Beniers vs Nathan MacKinnon
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Beniers wins 43.7% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 42.9% vs MacKinnon 44.9% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Beniers 60.2%
Defensive zone
Beniers 54.1%
Neutral zone
Beniers 58.2%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 57.1%
57.1%
42.9%
Beniers
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
9
(12 meetings)
3
9
Beniers
MacKinnon
Last 10: Beniers 3-7 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Beniers
MacKinnon
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
4
Beniers
MacKinnon
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
3
Beniers
MacKinnon
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (879)
44.7% (1,053)
-2.4%
Power Play
40.3% (72)
36.8% (95)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (18)
65.0% (20)
-20.6%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +20.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Beniers is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (371).
Beniers shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Home / Away
Beniers
MacKinnon
Home
43.8% (495)
49.4% (553)
Away
40.5% (474)
40.0% (615)
By Period
Beniers
MacKinnon
P1
43.3%
45.3%
P2
45.6%
42.7%
P3
38.2%
45.1%
OT
36.4%
46.2%
Final 5 min
42.3%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
42.2%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2023 | 3 | 14:00 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 5, 2023 | 2 | 11:51 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 5, 2023 | 2 | 11:45 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 5, 2023 | 1 | 14:57 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 5, 2023 | 1 | 12:38 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 07:25 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 21, 2022 | 3 | 14:36 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 21, 2022 | 3 | 11:12 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 21, 2022 | 3 | 11:04 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 21, 2022 | 2 | 15:13 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 21, 2022 | 2 | 11:17 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 21, 2022 | 2 | 03:42 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |