Matty Beniers vs Nathan MacKinnon
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.6% vs 46.8%). Look for Beniers on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 17 meetings). Beniers wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 46.7% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 22-20 in 42 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 50.5%
Defensive zone
Beniers 51.9%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 50.9%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Beniers
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
22
(42 meetings)
20
22
Beniers
MacKinnon
Last 10: Beniers 7-3 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
12
5
Beniers
MacKinnon
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
5
10
Beniers
MacKinnon
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
3
7
Beniers
MacKinnon
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (3,796)
46.1% (11,218)
+0.5%
Power Play
47.8% (360)
53.3% (1,412)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (111)
42.8% (502)
-1.4%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Beniers is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,447).
Beniers shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (9,490).
Home / Away
Beniers
MacKinnon
Home
48.9% (2,195)
49.7% (6,444)
Away
44.2% (2,072)
44.0% (6,689)
By Period
Beniers
MacKinnon
P1
47.4%
47.4%
P2
47.1%
46.6%
P3
45.7%
46.1%
OT
34.1%
48.4%
Final 5 min
46.2%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
46.6%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 03:19 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 19:07 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 2 | 15:22 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 3 | 17:48 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 3 | 17:26 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 2 | 06:33 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 2 | 03:59 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 1 | 16:29 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 1 | 16:16 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 1 | 04:19 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 06:24 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 14:15 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 00:23 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 08:14 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 03:22 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 00:54 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 13, 2023 | 3 | 09:00 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 13, 2023 | 2 | 14:46 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |