Matty Beniers vs Nathan MacKinnon
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Beniers on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Beniers wins 44.5% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 47.8% vs MacKinnon 49.9% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Beniers leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 71.3%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 50.3%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 63.3%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 62.5%
37.5%
62.5%
Beniers
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
6
(15 meetings)
9
6
Beniers
MacKinnon
Last 10: Beniers 7-3 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
4
1
Beniers
MacKinnon
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
3
1
Beniers
MacKinnon
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
2
4
Beniers
MacKinnon
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (1,050)
49.2% (1,266)
-0.9%
Power Play
42.9% (105)
54.9% (193)
-12.0%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (39)
49.1% (55)
-5.5%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Beniers is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (373).
Beniers shoots left. MacKinnon is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,100).
Home / Away
Beniers
MacKinnon
Home
48.7% (630)
50.9% (740)
Away
46.5% (564)
49.0% (774)
By Period
Beniers
MacKinnon
P1
49.2%
50.9%
P2
45.0%
51.8%
P3
49.3%
47.1%
OT
22.2%
58.8%
Final 5 min
45.6%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
47.7%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2024 | 3 | 17:48 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 3 | 17:26 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 2 | 06:33 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 2 | 03:59 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 1 | 16:29 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 1 | 16:16 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 1 | 04:19 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 06:24 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 14:15 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 00:23 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 08:14 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 03:22 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 00:54 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |