Matty Beniers vs Nathan MacKinnon
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Matty Beniers holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Beniers wins 44.3% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 47.6% vs MacKinnon 46.5% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 52.1%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 52.2%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 50.6%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Beniers
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Beniers
MacKinnon
Last 10: Beniers 5-5 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
4
2
Beniers
MacKinnon
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
4
Beniers
MacKinnon
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beniers
1
0
Beniers
MacKinnon
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (945)
45.5% (1,190)
+1.8%
Power Play
51.7% (145)
56.4% (94)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
23.8% (21)
40.0% (30)
-16.2%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Beniers is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (393).
Beniers shoots left. MacKinnon is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (905).
Home / Away
Beniers
MacKinnon
Home
49.6% (565)
47.8% (670)
Away
45.2% (546)
44.6% (644)
By Period
Beniers
MacKinnon
P1
48.0%
45.3%
P2
49.0%
48.5%
P3
46.5%
45.0%
OT
23.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.5%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
47.4%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2023 | 3 | 09:00 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 13, 2023 | 2 | 14:46 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 3 | 11:21 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 3 | 08:51 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 2 | 19:58 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 19:57 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 19:38 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 09:48 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 1 | 08:02 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 1 | 04:03 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 1 | 00:42 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |