Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +13.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Sturm on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Beniers wins 41.3% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 42.9% vs Sturm 55.2% (-13.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beniers 75.1%
Defensive zone
Sturm 76.1%
Neutral zone
Sturm 52.3%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 70.1%
29.9%
70.1%
Beniers
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Beniers
Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
1
2
Beniers
Sturm
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beniers
1
0
Beniers
Sturm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (879)
56.1% (716)
-13.8%
Power Play
40.3% (72)
67.7% (31)
-27.4%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (18)
51.1% (133)
-6.7%
On power play, Sturm has a +27.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Beniers is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (598).
Beniers shoots left. Sturm is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (592).
Home / Away
Beniers
Sturm
Home
43.8% (495)
55.6% (412)
Away
40.5% (474)
56.0% (468)
By Period
Beniers
Sturm
P1
43.3%
59.6%
P2
45.6%
52.0%
P3
38.2%
55.5%
OT
36.4%
60.0%
Final 5 min
42.3%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
42.2%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2023 | 1 | 16:25 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 3 | 15:03 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 2 | 16:08 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 1 | 09:32 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |