Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 47.8% vs Sturm 57.1% (-11.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beniers 80.7%
Defensive zone
Beniers 70.5%
Neutral zone
Beniers 68.9%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 69.7%
69.7%
30.3%
Beniers
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Beniers
Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
1
Beniers
Sturm
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
1
Beniers
Sturm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (1,050)
62.1% (356)
-13.8%
Power Play
42.9% (105)
75.0% (4)
-32.1%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (39)
38.7% (62)
+4.9%
On power play, Sturm has a +32.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Beniers is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Beniers shoots left. Sturm is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (279).
Home / Away
Beniers
Sturm
Home
48.7% (630)
61.8% (191)
Away
46.5% (564)
56.3% (231)
By Period
Beniers
Sturm
P1
49.2%
58.0%
P2
45.0%
57.9%
P3
49.3%
60.6%
Final 5 min
45.6%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
47.7%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
58.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 09:45 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 11:24 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |