Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Sturm on defensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 46.7% vs Sturm 56.1% (-9.7%)
H2H factor
Sturm leads 13-12 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Beniers 73.8%
Defensive zone
Sturm 64.3%
Neutral zone
Beniers 57.8%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Beniers
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
13
(25 meetings)
12
13
Beniers
Sturm
Last 10: Beniers 3-7 Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
3
4
Beniers
Sturm
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
3
7
Beniers
Sturm
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beniers
6
2
Beniers
Sturm
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (3,796)
57.1% (2,719)
-10.5%
Power Play
47.8% (360)
61.3% (62)
-13.5%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (111)
51.0% (498)
-9.6%
On power play, Sturm has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Beniers is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,820).
Beniers shoots left. Sturm is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (2,186).
Home / Away
Beniers
Sturm
Home
48.9% (2,195)
57.1% (1,614)
Away
44.2% (2,072)
55.4% (1,665)
By Period
Beniers
Sturm
P1
47.4%
56.5%
P2
47.1%
54.9%
P3
45.7%
57.4%
OT
34.1%
60.6%
Final 5 min
46.2%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
46.6%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 13:02 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 18:24 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 2 | 19:39 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 09:45 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 11:24 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 2 | 12:51 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 3 | 12:40 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 12:39 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 12:34 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 09:18 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 30, 2024 | 3 | 15:00 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 30, 2024 | 3 | 03:35 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 30, 2024 | 3 | 03:25 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 30, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 30, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 30, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 1 | 16:25 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 3 | 15:03 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 2 | 16:08 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 1 | 09:32 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |