Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +12.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Sturm on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 47.6% vs Sturm 59.0% (-12.7%)
H2H factor
Sturm leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Beniers 73.8%
Defensive zone
Sturm 58.6%
Neutral zone
Beniers 65.5%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 62.7%
62.7%
37.3%
Beniers
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Beniers
Sturm
Last 10: Beniers 3-7 Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
1
4
Beniers
Sturm
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
1
2
Beniers
Sturm
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beniers
2
1
Beniers
Sturm
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (945)
60.6% (708)
-13.3%
Power Play
51.7% (145)
61.1% (18)
-9.4%
Penalty Kill
23.8% (21)
56.4% (101)
-32.6%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +32.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Beniers is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (718).
Beniers shoots left. Sturm is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (563).
Home / Away
Beniers
Sturm
Home
49.6% (565)
61.6% (451)
Away
45.2% (546)
58.2% (376)
By Period
Beniers
Sturm
P1
48.0%
55.9%
P2
49.0%
58.9%
P3
46.5%
64.6%
OT
23.5%
70.6%
Final 5 min
51.5%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
47.4%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
60.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2024 | 2 | 12:51 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 3 | 12:40 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 12:39 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 12:34 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 09:18 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 30, 2024 | 3 | 15:00 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 30, 2024 | 3 | 03:35 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 30, 2024 | 3 | 03:25 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 30, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 30, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 30, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |