Scouting Report
Matty Beniers holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 47.6% vs Novak 43.5% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beniers 56.2%
Defensive zone
Beniers 81.4%
Neutral zone
Beniers 67.7%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 62.0%
62.0%
38.0%
Beniers
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Beniers
Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Beniers
Novak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beniers
2
0
Beniers
Novak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (945)
40.7% (460)
+6.6%
Power Play
51.7% (145)
61.5% (39)
-9.8%
Penalty Kill
23.8% (21)
0.0% (1)
+23.8%
On penalty kill, Beniers has a +23.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Beniers is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (718).
Beniers shoots left. Novak is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
Beniers
Novak
Home
49.6% (565)
47.0% (236)
Away
45.2% (546)
37.9% (264)
By Period
Beniers
Novak
P1
48.0%
43.1%
P2
49.0%
43.1%
P3
46.5%
40.1%
Final 5 min
51.5%
38.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
47.4%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
42.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 09:03 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 11:09 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 02:48 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 17:41 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |