Scouting Report
Matty Beniers holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 47.8% vs Novak 45.0% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beniers 51.7%
Defensive zone
Beniers 77.3%
Neutral zone
Beniers 56.8%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 63.6%
63.6%
36.4%
Beniers
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Beniers
Novak
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
1
0
Beniers
Novak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Beniers
Novak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (1,050)
42.9% (198)
+5.4%
Power Play
42.9% (105)
40.9% (22)
+2.0%
On even strength, Beniers has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Beniers is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Beniers shoots left. Novak is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (126).
Home / Away
Beniers
Novak
Home
48.7% (630)
40.9% (110)
Away
46.5% (564)
44.5% (110)
By Period
Beniers
Novak
P1
49.2%
39.1%
P2
45.0%
43.9%
P3
49.3%
44.9%
OT
22.2%
100.0%
Final 5 min
45.6%
25.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
47.7%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
42.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2024 | 3 | 00:23 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 3 | 01:34 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 3 | 01:19 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |