Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.3% vs 45.4%). Domi wins 40.6% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Domi 47.8% vs MacKinnon 45.9% (-0.1%)
Offensive zone
Domi 50.5%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 62.8%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 56.3%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Domi
MacKinnon
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Domi
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
41.3% (75)
45.8% (755)
-4.5%
Power Play
72.7% (11)
48.3% (60)
+24.4%
On power play, Domi has a +24.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Domi is 40.6% vs right-shot opponents (32).
Domi shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Home / Away
Domi
MacKinnon
Home
50.0% (32)
49.5% (396)
Away
42.6% (54)
41.7% (448)
By Period
Domi
MacKinnon
P1
37.0%
50.2%
P2
40.6%
43.8%
P3
59.3%
41.4%
Final 5 min
60.9%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
45.3%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
45.4%