Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.2% vs 49.9%). Domi wins 44.8% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Domi 50.2% vs MacKinnon 49.9% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 54.0%
Defensive zone
Domi 52.6%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 53.3%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Domi
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Domi
MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
1
Domi
MacKinnon
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Domi
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (499)
49.2% (1,266)
+0.5%
Power Play
56.8% (44)
54.9% (193)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
49.1% (55)
-49.1%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +49.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Domi is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (172).
Domi shoots left. MacKinnon is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,100).
Home / Away
Domi
MacKinnon
Home
51.0% (298)
50.9% (740)
Away
49.2% (246)
49.0% (774)
By Period
Domi
MacKinnon
P1
54.8%
50.9%
P2
48.9%
51.8%
P3
46.4%
47.1%
Final 5 min
45.0%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
50.2%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2025 | 2 | 07:16 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |