Scouting Report
Max Domi holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on neutral-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Domi 53.3% vs MacKinnon 44.9% (+9.3%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 68.0%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 60.7%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 68.4%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 66.3%
33.7%
66.3%
Domi
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Domi
MacKinnon
Last 10: Domi 3-7 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
2
Domi
MacKinnon
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
3
5
Domi
MacKinnon
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Domi
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (847)
44.7% (1,053)
+9.1%
Power Play
52.1% (96)
36.8% (95)
+15.3%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
65.0% (20)
-7.9%
On power play, Domi has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Domi is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (313).
Domi shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Home / Away
Domi
MacKinnon
Home
53.9% (445)
49.4% (553)
Away
53.5% (505)
40.0% (615)
By Period
Domi
MacKinnon
P1
51.4%
45.3%
P2
55.3%
42.7%
P3
54.7%
45.1%
OT
41.7%
46.2%
Final 5 min
59.2%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.7%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 2 | 18:27 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 2 | 08:26 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 1 | 11:01 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 1 | 10:45 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 1 | 03:24 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 2 | 00:18 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Max Domi |