Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Domi wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Domi 45.3% vs O'Reilly 56.5% (-12.0%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 11-2 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Domi 81.4%
Defensive zone
Domi 86.6%
Neutral zone
Domi 88.8%
Result
Max Domi favored at 85.1%
85.1%
14.9%
Domi
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
11
(13 meetings)
2
11
Domi
O'Reilly
Last 10: Domi 1-9 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
3
Domi
O'Reilly
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
5
Domi
O'Reilly
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
3
Domi
O'Reilly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Domi
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
43.6% (826)
57.1% (1,367)
-13.5%
Power Play
51.6% (157)
59.4% (286)
-7.8%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (13)
52.5% (257)
-6.3%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Domi is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (705).
Domi shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,201).
Home / Away
Domi
O'Reilly
Home
46.4% (524)
59.2% (936)
Away
43.2% (472)
54.6% (974)
By Period
Domi
O'Reilly
P1
45.2%
57.3%
P2
42.7%
57.5%
P3
47.1%
55.0%
OT
38.5%
71.1%
Final 5 min
46.4%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
44.9%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2019 | 3 | 18:16 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 2 | 19:37 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 2 | 07:34 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 2 | 05:17 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 2 | 05:01 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 1 | 16:14 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 1 | 14:28 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 1 | 13:20 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 1 | 05:51 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 1 | 02:42 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 17, 2018 | 3 | 16:44 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 17, 2018 | 2 | 16:18 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 17, 2018 | 1 | 15:23 | Offensive | Max Domi |