Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Domi 50.0% vs O'Reilly 53.7% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 50.7%
Defensive zone
Domi 58.0%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 54.2%
Result
Max Domi favored at 58.0%
58.0%
42.0%
Domi
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Domi
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Domi
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Domi
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (394)
55.0% (1,084)
-5.3%
Power Play
51.7% (58)
56.8% (303)
-5.1%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Domi is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (308).
Domi shoots left. O'Reilly is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (981).
Home / Away
Domi
O'Reilly
Home
53.2% (235)
54.8% (759)
Away
46.5% (217)
53.0% (777)
By Period
Domi
O'Reilly
P1
54.4%
55.3%
P2
46.6%
51.9%
P3
49.6%
54.2%
OT
50.0%
64.7%
Final 5 min
57.5%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
50.0%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2023 | 2 | 09:21 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 3 | 09:09 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |