Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Domi 50.2% vs O'Reilly 55.3% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 77.7%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 63.4%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 74.0%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 63.4%
36.6%
63.4%
Domi
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Domi
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Domi
2
0
Domi
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Domi
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (499)
56.2% (983)
-6.5%
Power Play
56.8% (44)
55.5% (254)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
52.0% (102)
-52.0%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +52.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Domi is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (372).
Domi shoots left. O'Reilly is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (848).
Home / Away
Domi
O'Reilly
Home
51.0% (298)
56.2% (697)
Away
49.2% (246)
55.1% (642)
By Period
Domi
O'Reilly
P1
54.8%
54.5%
P2
48.9%
55.5%
P3
46.4%
57.1%
Final 5 min
45.0%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
50.2%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 15:47 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1 | 04:36 | Defensive | Max Domi |