Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Domi 47.8% vs O'Reilly 56.4% (-11.5%)
Offensive zone
Domi 59.0%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 69.3%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 53.2%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Domi
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Domi
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
41.3% (75)
56.6% (1,064)
-15.3%
Power Play
72.7% (11)
60.4% (260)
+12.3%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Domi is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (54).
Domi shoots left. O'Reilly is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Home / Away
Domi
O'Reilly
Home
50.0% (32)
54.9% (801)
Away
42.6% (54)
58.7% (784)
By Period
Domi
O'Reilly
P1
37.0%
58.0%
P2
40.6%
56.7%
P3
59.3%
55.4%
Final 5 min
60.9%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
45.3%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.8%