Michael McCarron vs Nick Bjugstad
2015-16 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 50.2% vs Bjugstad 51.5% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCarron 56.4%
Defensive zone
McCarron 50.7%
Neutral zone
McCarron 52.9%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
McCarron
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
McCarron
Bjugstad
Last 5: McCarron 1-4 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
McCarron
Bjugstad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
3
McCarron
Bjugstad
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (144)
50.4% (752)
-0.4%
Power Play
52.0% (25)
60.6% (104)
-8.6%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. McCarron is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (62).
McCarron shoots right. Bjugstad is 52.3% vs right-shot opponents (279).
Home / Away
McCarron
Bjugstad
Home
46.3% (82)
52.9% (461)
Away
54.0% (87)
50.4% (407)
By Period
McCarron
Bjugstad
P1
45.5%
51.5%
P2
53.6%
53.8%
P3
53.2%
49.8%
Final 5 min
54.2%
43.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
50.3%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2016 | 2 | 19:07 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 15, 2016 | 2 | 19:04 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 15, 2016 | 2 | 12:45 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 15, 2016 | 1 | 11:46 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 15, 2016 | 1 | 08:38 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |