Michael McCarron vs Nick Bjugstad
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. McCarron wins 58.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 52.8% vs Bjugstad 49.3% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 53.6%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 55.6%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 52.6%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
McCarron
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
McCarron
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
McCarron
Bjugstad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
1
0
McCarron
Bjugstad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (618)
50.7% (906)
+3.8%
Power Play
42.1% (19)
48.1% (108)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
35.3% (34)
44.4% (239)
-9.1%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. McCarron is 58.7% vs right-shot opponents (208).
McCarron shoots right. Bjugstad is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (347).
Home / Away
McCarron
Bjugstad
Home
52.2% (339)
49.8% (643)
Away
54.2% (332)
48.7% (610)
By Period
McCarron
Bjugstad
P1
53.5%
49.4%
P2
50.6%
50.5%
P3
55.9%
47.9%
Final 5 min
45.9%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.2%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2024 | 1 | 09:40 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 2 | 02:02 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |