Michael McCarron vs Nick Bjugstad
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.4% vs 55.3%). Look for McCarron on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McCarron wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 53.4% vs Bjugstad 53.8% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 55.7%
Defensive zone
McCarron 57.8%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 50.8%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
McCarron
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
McCarron
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
1
0
McCarron
Bjugstad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
2
1
McCarron
Bjugstad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (308)
55.9% (245)
+1.6%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
0.0% (3)
+50.0%
Penalty Kill
32.6% (43)
57.1% (7)
-24.5%
On power play, McCarron has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. McCarron is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (130).
McCarron shoots right. Bjugstad is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (57).
Home / Away
McCarron
Bjugstad
Home
48.3% (147)
53.2% (111)
Away
58.7% (206)
56.9% (144)
By Period
McCarron
Bjugstad
P1
53.4%
44.6%
P2
59.5%
61.4%
P3
50.0%
61.3%
Final 5 min
54.8%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.4%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2022 | 2 | 03:14 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 1 | 13:27 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 1 | 10:43 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 1 | 10:40 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |