Michael McCarron vs Nick Bjugstad
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). McCarron wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 52.7% vs Bjugstad 48.9% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Bjugstad leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 71.6%
Defensive zone
McCarron 72.4%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 54.1%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
McCarron
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
McCarron
Bjugstad
Last 10: McCarron 7-3 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
3
McCarron
Bjugstad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
3
0
McCarron
Bjugstad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
5
5
McCarron
Bjugstad
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (2,901)
48.6% (6,634)
+4.8%
Power Play
45.3% (86)
55.2% (829)
-9.9%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (463)
44.3% (614)
+6.2%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. McCarron is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,047).
McCarron shoots right. Bjugstad is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,330).
Home / Away
McCarron
Bjugstad
Home
52.3% (1,696)
49.8% (4,020)
Away
53.3% (1,754)
48.1% (4,057)
By Period
McCarron
Bjugstad
P1
53.9%
49.0%
P2
52.5%
49.1%
P3
52.0%
48.4%
OT
33.3%
61.3%
Final 5 min
50.7%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 14:50 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 18:58 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 09:57 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 06:18 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 15:06 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 1 | 09:40 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 2 | 02:02 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 2 | 03:14 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 1 | 13:27 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 1 | 10:43 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 1 | 10:40 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 15, 2016 | 2 | 19:07 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 15, 2016 | 2 | 19:04 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 15, 2016 | 2 | 12:45 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 15, 2016 | 1 | 11:46 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 15, 2016 | 1 | 08:38 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |