Michael McCarron vs Nick Bjugstad
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. McCarron wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 54.0% vs Bjugstad 47.9% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 77.7%
Defensive zone
McCarron 78.4%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 50.7%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
McCarron
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
McCarron
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
McCarron
Bjugstad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
1
0
McCarron
Bjugstad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
McCarron
Bjugstad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (756)
46.7% (398)
+7.5%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
51.6% (31)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
55.1% (158)
62.5% (8)
-7.4%
On even strength, McCarron has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. McCarron is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (249).
McCarron shoots right. Bjugstad is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (114).
Home / Away
McCarron
Bjugstad
Home
54.6% (445)
47.3% (220)
Away
54.2% (478)
47.5% (217)
By Period
McCarron
Bjugstad
P1
53.6%
46.1%
P2
55.6%
46.3%
P3
53.7%
50.4%
Final 5 min
53.5%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.4%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 18:58 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 09:57 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 06:18 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 15:06 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |