Michael McCarron vs Nick Bjugstad
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 52.5% vs Bjugstad 49.1% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 56.1%
Defensive zone
McCarron 75.5%
Neutral zone
McCarron 55.7%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
McCarron
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
McCarron
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
1
0
McCarron
Bjugstad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (672)
48.9% (280)
+4.2%
Power Play
18.2% (11)
50.0% (6)
-31.8%
Penalty Kill
53.7% (205)
47.2% (36)
+6.5%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +31.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. McCarron is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (265).
McCarron shoots right. Bjugstad is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Home / Away
McCarron
Bjugstad
Home
52.8% (477)
48.4% (190)
Away
52.8% (411)
49.2% (132)
By Period
McCarron
Bjugstad
P1
56.5%
41.7%
P2
53.2%
56.6%
P3
49.0%
48.7%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
52.3%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 14:50 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |