Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 53.4% vs Foligno 51.8% (-2.0%)
Offensive zone
Foligno 67.4%
Defensive zone
McCarron 69.4%
Neutral zone
McCarron 57.0%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
McCarron
Foligno
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (308)
58.1% (31)
-0.6%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
50.0% (2)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
32.6% (43)
50.0% (6)
-17.4%
On penalty kill, Foligno has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. McCarron is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (223).
McCarron shoots right. Foligno is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (19).
Home / Away
McCarron
Foligno
Home
48.3% (147)
56.3% (16)
Away
58.7% (206)
56.5% (23)
By Period
McCarron
Foligno
P1
53.4%
50.0%
P2
59.5%
66.7%
P3
50.0%
54.5%
Final 5 min
54.8%
100.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.4%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
56.4%