Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.2% vs 52.4%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 52.8% vs Foligno 52.0% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 76.9%
Defensive zone
McCarron 81.7%
Neutral zone
Foligno 51.3%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 58.8%
58.8%
41.2%
McCarron
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
McCarron
Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
1
McCarron
Foligno
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
2
0
McCarron
Foligno
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
1
0
McCarron
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (618)
53.4% (249)
+1.1%
Power Play
42.1% (19)
53.2% (154)
-11.1%
Penalty Kill
35.3% (34)
40.6% (32)
-5.3%
On power play, Foligno has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. McCarron is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (463).
McCarron shoots right. Foligno is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Home / Away
McCarron
Foligno
Home
52.2% (339)
57.3% (225)
Away
54.2% (332)
47.1% (210)
By Period
McCarron
Foligno
P1
53.5%
53.0%
P2
50.6%
51.8%
P3
55.9%
52.6%
Final 5 min
45.9%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.2%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2024 | 3 | 07:41 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 2 | 16:39 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 16:45 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 06:43 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |