Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. McCarron wins 58.9% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 54.9% vs Foligno 52.3% (+3.8%)
Offensive zone
Foligno 63.7%
Defensive zone
McCarron 69.5%
Neutral zone
McCarron 59.8%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
McCarron
Foligno
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
62.8% (86)
52.0% (50)
+10.8%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
66.7% (21)
-16.7%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (18)
0.0% (1)
+44.4%
On penalty kill, McCarron has a +44.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. McCarron is 58.9% vs left-shot opponents (73).
McCarron shoots right. Foligno is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (32).
Home / Away
McCarron
Foligno
Home
59.5% (42)
51.2% (41)
Away
59.4% (64)
61.3% (31)
By Period
McCarron
Foligno
P1
71.0%
55.6%
P2
48.7%
48.0%
P3
61.1%
65.0%
Final 5 min
51.4%
81.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.4%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
55.6%