Michael McCarron vs Nick Foligno
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 52.7% vs Foligno 48.6% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
McCarron leads 13-10 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Foligno 78.9%
Defensive zone
McCarron 84.1%
Neutral zone
McCarron 56.6%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 59.6%
59.6%
40.4%
McCarron
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
10
(23 meetings)
13
10
McCarron
Foligno
Last 10: McCarron 6-4 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
3
2
McCarron
Foligno
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
5
4
McCarron
Foligno
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
5
4
McCarron
Foligno
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (2,901)
48.3% (2,810)
+5.1%
Power Play
45.3% (86)
52.3% (730)
-7.0%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (463)
44.0% (455)
+6.5%
On power play, Foligno has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. McCarron is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,403).
McCarron shoots right. Foligno is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,501).
Home / Away
McCarron
Foligno
Home
52.3% (1,696)
49.9% (2,013)
Away
53.3% (1,754)
47.2% (1,984)
By Period
McCarron
Foligno
P1
53.9%
47.6%
P2
52.5%
50.4%
P3
52.0%
48.3%
OT
33.3%
29.7%
Final 5 min
50.7%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 19:12 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 13:42 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 13:50 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 10:43 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 10:38 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 10:29 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 17:04 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 16:58 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 08:15 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 1 | 06:26 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 19:13 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 2 | 13:47 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 2 | 13:41 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 2 | 11:44 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 2 | 04:54 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 1 | 03:37 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 3 | 07:41 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 2 | 16:39 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |