Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 53.4% vs Sturm 52.5% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCarron 51.5%
Defensive zone
Sturm 53.0%
Neutral zone
McCarron 50.3%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
McCarron
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
McCarron
Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
1
0
McCarron
Sturm
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
McCarron
Sturm
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (308)
54.0% (480)
+3.5%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
28.6% (7)
+21.4%
Penalty Kill
32.6% (43)
50.0% (102)
-17.4%
On power play, McCarron has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. McCarron is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (223).
McCarron shoots right. Sturm is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (199).
Home / Away
McCarron
Sturm
Home
48.3% (147)
54.0% (287)
Away
58.7% (206)
52.0% (302)
By Period
McCarron
Sturm
P1
53.4%
53.5%
P2
59.5%
51.0%
P3
50.0%
55.1%
Final 5 min
54.8%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.4%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2022 | 2 | 09:52 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 1 | 14:32 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 1 | 02:01 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |