Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. McCarron wins 58.9% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 54.9% vs Sturm 55.2% (+3.6%)
Offensive zone
McCarron 53.8%
Defensive zone
Sturm 59.7%
Neutral zone
Sturm 51.3%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
McCarron
Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
62.8% (86)
56.1% (716)
+6.7%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
67.7% (31)
-17.7%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (18)
51.1% (133)
-6.7%
On power play, Sturm has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. McCarron is 58.9% vs left-shot opponents (73).
McCarron shoots right. Sturm is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
McCarron
Sturm
Home
59.5% (42)
55.6% (412)
Away
59.4% (64)
56.0% (468)
By Period
McCarron
Sturm
P1
71.0%
59.6%
P2
48.7%
52.0%
P3
61.1%
55.5%
Final 5 min
51.4%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.4%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
55.8%