Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. McCarron wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 53.4% vs Hartman 45.3% (+9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 60.8%
Defensive zone
McCarron 87.5%
Neutral zone
McCarron 73.6%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 80.5%
80.5%
19.5%
McCarron
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
McCarron
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
2
0
McCarron
Hartman
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
McCarron
Hartman
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (308)
44.8% (936)
+12.7%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
49.4% (154)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
32.6% (43)
33.3% (54)
-0.7%
On even strength, McCarron has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. McCarron is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (130).
McCarron shoots right. Hartman is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (344).
Home / Away
McCarron
Hartman
Home
48.3% (147)
47.4% (568)
Away
58.7% (206)
42.4% (576)
By Period
McCarron
Hartman
P1
53.4%
47.2%
P2
59.5%
43.4%
P3
50.0%
43.8%
Final 5 min
54.8%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.4%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2022 | 1 | 19:57 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 2 | 12:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 2 | 08:23 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 1 | 10:27 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |