Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. McCarron wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 54.0% vs Hartman 48.1% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 66.3%
Defensive zone
McCarron 85.2%
Neutral zone
McCarron 55.9%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 58.3%
58.3%
41.7%
McCarron
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
McCarron
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
McCarron
Hartman
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
1
0
McCarron
Hartman
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
1
0
McCarron
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (756)
48.1% (520)
+6.1%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
44.7% (47)
+10.9%
Penalty Kill
55.1% (158)
47.8% (23)
+7.3%
On power play, McCarron has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. McCarron is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (249).
McCarron shoots right. Hartman is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (148).
Home / Away
McCarron
Hartman
Home
54.6% (445)
48.3% (360)
Away
54.2% (478)
47.0% (230)
By Period
McCarron
Hartman
P1
53.6%
48.5%
P2
55.6%
45.2%
P3
53.7%
49.6%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.5%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.4%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 08:39 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 06:55 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 06:19 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |